One of the best things in football is the through pass.
There’s just something about watching the quarterbacks throw the ball 40 yards into the field that makes it aesthetically pleasing on TV, and we’re in a football era where it seems like the art of the through ball. is experiencing a revival.
As such, I have spent six years charting those deep passes in a series of charts and articles called The Deep Ball Project, where I examine the accuracy of passes thrown more than 21 yards beyond the line of scrimmage, whether or not they are caught or not.
I recently uploaded the 2019-20 edition, which you can find here.
Normally Cam Newton would make an appearance on those rosters, but since he’s only played two games this season, that means Kyle Allen represents the Panthers in this year’s Deep Ball Project. Let’s just say his results were… not good. For more on this, let’s take a look at the table below of the 32 quarterbacks surveyed for the 2019-2020 Deep Ball project, ranked by accuracy percentage (Note: NOT the percentage of completion.)
As you can see, Allen placed dead last in the deep accuracy percentage with a 31.71% accuracy percentage while throwing for 371 yards, one touchdown, two interceptions, 317 yards over the air and 54 yards after the capture. Suffice it to say, having such a low accuracy percentage was a major drawback for the Panthers receiving body in 2019.
Expecting him to be a league average passer, let alone a league average deep passer, says a lot about how far you’ve come as an NFL quarterback. Going from an undrafted save straight to a starting role after Newton’s injury, then helping guide Carolina to four-game winning streak is something he should always feel proud of – unfortunately, that kind of success wasn’t everything. just not meant to last long, and as the Panthers ended the year on an eight-game losing streak, Allen’s hiccups were brought to more light.
So, to take a more in-depth look at Allen’s deep passing stats, let’s take a look at the table below, made up of his individual deep passing stats and where his accuracy ranked over 32 starting quarterbacks ( shown in black squares in parentheses).
As we know, Allen’s overall accuracy ranked 32nd out of 32 quarterbacks. And as we can see above, close inspection only increases the level of concern over whether he should be back in a Panthers uniform next season.
On the one hand, Allen was the least accurate deep passer to throw in open windows – only managing to be accurate on 33.33% of his throws. For reference, the other 31 quarterbacks managed at least to be precise on 45% of their throws to open receivers.
It’s just as bad as it sounds.
Allen also finished last in precision on throws in midfield, on throws from 36 to 40 yards (tied with five other quarterbacks, hence the No.27 ranking) and against edge pressure (tied with four more quarters). A silver lining is that Allen performed well in the 21-25 yard range, tied with Sam Darnold as the seventh most accurate passer on those shots.
Still, it’s obvious the Panthers had a deep passing problem in 2019 – as is normally the case in these scenarios, the quarterback was the main culprit. For another close look, let’s take a look at the tape to see what evidence we can find.
Last season I wrote about how those missed shots were costing Curtis Samuel a lot of yards and touchdowns, so this time every clip is from a deep pass attempt by DJ Moore.